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Emissions Gap Report 2026

Oct. 23, 2026

The Emissions Gap Report 2026 warns that the 1.5°C warming threshold is now unattainable, intensifying climate risks.

About Emissions Gap Report 2026:

  • Emissions Gap Report is an annual report published by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).
  • The EGR series tracks our progress in limiting global warming well below 2°C and pursuing 1.5°C in line with the Paris Agreement.
  • It is launched every year ahead of the UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP).
  • The EGR is co-produced by UNEP, the UNEP Copenhagen Climate Centre (UNEP-CCC) and partners.

Key Highlights of Emissions Gap Report 2026:          

  • Global greenhouse gas emissions totaled 4 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO₂e) in 2025, around 0.16 GtCO₂e lower than in 2024. 
  • More than two-thirds of all GHGs emissions are from fossil sources; rest being CO₂ from the land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF), methane, nitrous oxide and fluorinated gas emissions (F-gases).
  • The world has lost the opportunity to keep warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels without, or with only limited, overshoot.
  • To reach the lowest-overshoot pathway, global greenhouse gas emissions would need to fall by: 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035 and 69% by 2040.
  • The full implementation of countries’ Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) would reduce emissions by only 5% to 8% by 2030 and 11% to 15% by 2035, relative to 2025.

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