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30 Jan 2026

Economic Survey 2025–26 Preface - Towards an Entrepreneurial State in an Uncertain World

Why in News?

  • The Economic Survey 2025–26, tabled in Parliament by the Union Minister for Finance and Corporate Affairs, Smt. Nirmala Sitharaman, reflects on India’s post-Covid economic resilience amid rising global geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
  • The Preface departs from conventional macroeconomic commentary and makes a strong normative case for transforming India into an “entrepreneurial state” capable of navigating uncertainty while pursuing the goal of Viksit Bharat.

What’s in Today’s Article?

  • Reconfigured Economic Survey
  • Core Theme - Entrepreneurial Policy Making under Uncertainty
  • Early Signals of the Entrepreneurial State
  • India’s Macroeconomic Resilience in a Turbulent World
  • Global Headwinds vs India’s Aspirations
  • Three Possible Global Scenarios for 2026
  • India’s Relative Strengths
  • Running a Marathon and Sprint Simultaneously
  • Challenges
  • Way Forward
  • Conclusion 

Reconfigured Economic Survey:

  • Structural changes:
    • The Economic Survey 2025-26 expanded to 17 chapters - indicating greater depth and breadth.
    • Chapters are rearranged based on national priority and relevance, not convention.
  • Special essays on:
    • Evolution of Artificial Intelligence
    • Quality of life in Indian cities
    • State capacity, private sector and households in achieving strategic resilience and strategic indispensability. 

Core Theme - Entrepreneurial Policy Making under Uncertainty:

  • Fundamental shift in the role of the State: From risk-averse, compliance-driven governance to risk-structuring, capability-driven and adaptive governance.
  • Key features of an ‘Entrepreneurial State’:
    • It acts before certainty emerges, structures and manages risk, rather than avoiding it.
    • It will learn from systematic experimentation, and correct course without policy paralysis.
  • Significance: This vision is presented as practical and already unfolding, not merely aspirational.

Early Signals of the Entrepreneurial State:

  • The Survey highlights ongoing initiatives as evidence of this shift. For example,
    • Mission-mode platforms (e.g., Semiconductors, Green Hydrogen).
    • Public procurement reforms enabling first-of-a-kind domestic innovation.
    • State-level deregulation compacts, replacing inspection-based controls with trust-based compliance.
  • These initiatives mark a transition from regulation to capability building.

India’s Macroeconomic Resilience in a Turbulent World:

  • Despite the Covid-19 shock, US tariffs imposed (in April 2025), rising global fragmentation, India has demonstrated strong macroeconomic fundamentals.
  • For example, expected real GDP growth of over 7% in 2025–26, with momentum continuing into the next year.
  • However, the Survey identifies a “Paradox of 2025”:
    • India’s strongest macroeconomic performance in decades coincides with a global system that no longer rewards macroeconomic prudence with currency stability, capital inflows, or insulation from shocks.

Global Headwinds vs India’s Aspirations:

  • India, with 145 crore people, aims to become a high-income country within a generation, within a democratic framework—a path with no ready-made global template.
  • The Survey notes:
    • Retreat of the global dominant power from earlier commitments.
    • Rising trade frictions, geopolitical rivalries, and economic nationalism.
  • These headwinds can become tailwinds only if the State, private sector, and households align and commit to sustained effort.

Three Possible Global Scenarios for 2026:

  • Managed disorder:
    • Less coordinated world
    • Higher risk aversion
    • Integrated yet distrustful global system
    • Narrower margin of safety
  • Disorderly multipolar breakdown:
    • Intensified strategic rivalry
    • Coercive trade, sanctions, supply chain realignments
    • Greater trade-offs between autonomy, growth, and stability
  • Systemic shock cascade (low probability, high impact): Financial, technological, and geopolitical shocks amplify each other - potentially worse than the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.

India’s Relative Strengths:

  • India is better placed than many countries due to:
    • Large domestic market
    • Less financialised growth model
    • Strong foreign exchange reserves
    • Credible strategic autonomy
  • Yet, a common risk across all scenarios remains:
    • Disruption of capital flows
    • Sustained pressure on the rupee

Running a Marathon and Sprint Simultaneously:

  • External sector imperative: Rising incomes will inevitably lead to rising imports. Therefore, India must generate export earnings, and foreign investor confidence.
  • Policy stance for 2026:
    • Focus on supply stability, resource buffers, diversification of routes and payment systems.
    • Adopt strategic sobriety, not defensive pessimism.
  • India must “India must run a marathon and sprint simultaneously, or run a marathon as if it were a sprint”—maximising growth while absorbing shocks.

Challenges:

  • India’s central challenge - Policy and process reforms:
    • The Survey underlines that policy reforms are necessary, and process reforms are even more critical.
    • Why? Processes govern state–citizen interaction. They determine whether policy intent succeeds or fails.
    • Positive signals: State-led deregulation and smart regulation, and shift from control to enabling governance.
  • Other challenges:
    • Global geopolitical fragmentation and economic coercion
    • Capital flow volatility and exchange rate pressures
    • Need for rapid institutional adaptation
    • Balancing growth with resilience and stability

Way Forward:

  • Integrating 3 pillars for Viksit Bharat:
    • The Survey integrates three pillars: state capacity, societal participation, and deregulation.
    • In a democracy, the State remains the principal development agent, but must upskill and reskill, be mentally prepared for a hostile and uncertain global terrain, and adapt to the reality that old rules no longer apply.
  • Strategic opportunity amid global crises:
    • Potential global crises may open space for India to shape the emerging global order, and enhance strategic influence and indispensability.
    • This demands the most agile, flexible and purposeful governance since Independence.
  • Delayed gratification over short-term fixes:
    • The Survey advocates resilience over quick wins, innovation and persistence over short-term pressure management.
    • This will help India to stay committed to Viksit Bharat amid prolonged global churn.
  • Other suggestions:
    • Deepen entrepreneurial governance.
    • Strengthen process reforms and deregulation.
    • Build buffers, redundancy, and liquidity.
    • Align state, market, and society towards long-term national goals.
    • Invest in state capacity and institutional learning.

Conclusion:

  • The Economic Survey 2025–26 Preface redefines India’s economic strategy for an era of uncertainty.
  • It calls for an entrepreneurial, adaptive and resilient State that can sustain high growth while absorbing shocks.
  • In a volatile global order, India’s path to Viksit Bharat lies not in quick fixes, but in patient resilience, relentless innovation, and strategic sobriety—running the marathon of development at the pace of a sprint.
Economics

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

Shettihalli Wildlife Sanctuary
In the wake of the controversy surrounding the move to ‘reduce’ the boundary of Shettihalli Sanctuary in Shivamogga, the forest minister recently visited the sanctuary to understand the situation.
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About Shettihalli Wildlife Sanctuary:

  • It is located in the Shimoga District of Karnataka.
  • The Tunga Anicut Dam is situated within the sanctuary.
  • The Mandagadde Bird Sanctuary is also a part of the Shettihalli Wildlife Sanctuary.
    • It is a popular bird nesting site situated on an island in the midst of the Tunga River.
  • Vegetation:
    • It is mainly covered by tropical evergreen and semi-evergreen forests.
    • The eastern and central parts are mostly covered by dry and moist deciduous forests, while the western parts have semi-evergreen forests.
  • Flora: Major tree species include silver oak, teak, Indian Thorny Bamboo, Calcutta Bamboo, Asan, Tectona Grandis, Sweet Indrajao, Amla, etc.
  • Fauna:
    • It houses mammals like Tiger, Leopard, Wild Dog, Jackal, Gaur, Elephant, Sloth Bear Sambar, Spotted Deer, Wild Pig, Common Langur, Bonnet Macaque, etc.
    • Birds include Hornbills, Kingfishers, Bulbuls, Parakeets, Doves, Pigeons, Babblers, Flycatchers, Munias, Swallows, Woodpeckers, Peafowl, Jungle fowl and Partridges. 
Environment

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

Key Facts about Phosphorus
Phosphorus accumulation in US farmland is causing significant water pollution.
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About Phosphorus :

  • It is a highly reactive nonmetallic chemical element of the nitrogen family (Group 15 [Va] of the periodic table).
  • It has the symbol P and atomic number 15.
  • The two main forms of phosphorus are white phosphorus and red phosphorus.
    • White phosphorus is a poisonous waxy solid, and contact with skin can cause severe burns. It glows in the dark and is spontaneously flammable when exposed to air.
    • Red phosphorus is an amorphous, non-toxic solid.
  • Uses:
    • White phosphorus is used in flares and incendiary devices.
    • Red phosphorus is in the material stuck on the side of matchboxes, used to strike safety matches against to light them.
    • By far the largest use of phosphorus compounds is for fertilisers.
      • Ammonium phosphate is made from phosphate ores.
      • The ores are first converted into phosphoric acids before being made into ammonium phosphate.
    • Phosphorus is also important in the production of steel.
    • Phosphates are ingredients in some detergents but are beginning to be phased out in some countries.
      • This is because they can lead to high phosphate levels in natural water supplies, causing unwanted algae to grow.
    • Phosphates are also used in the production of special glasses and fine chinaware.
  • Biological Role:
    • The main function of phosphorus is in the formation of bones and teeth.
    • It plays an important role in how the body uses carbohydrates and fats.
    • It is also needed for the body to make protein for the growth, maintenance, and repair of cells and tissues.
    • Phosphorus also helps the body make ATP, a molecule the body uses to store energy.
  • Occurence:
    • Because phosphorus cannot naturally occur in the environment, it is typically mined from phosphates.
    • Phosphates typically accumulate at the bottom of rivers and lakes, within different rocks, and in large mineral deposits around the world.
    • Natural phosphates exist inside every living thing. They comprise DNA, RNA, ATP, phospholipids, and other compounds crucial for cellular function and, by extension, life.
    • The main food sources are the protein food groups of meat and milk, as well as processed foods that contain sodium phosphate.
Science & Tech

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

Shiveluch Volcano
The Shiveluch volcano on Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula erupted twice recently, sending ash plumes up to 8 kilometres above sea level.
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About Shiveluch Volcano:

  • It is one of the largest and most active volcanoes located on Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula, one of the most intense volcanic regions in the world.
  • It is a stratovolcano—a steep-sloped volcano composed of alternating layers of solidified ash, hardened lava, and volcanic rocks.

Key facts about Kamchatka Peninsula:

  • It lies in far eastern Russia, between the Sea of Okhotsk on the west and the Pacific Ocean and Bering Sea on the east.
  • It is one of the world’s most concentrated areas of geothermal activity.
  • The Kuril Island chain runs from the southern tip of the peninsula to a short distance from Japan’s northern Hokkaido Island.
  • The volcanoes of Kamchatka have been a UNESCO World Heritage Site since 1996. 
Geography

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

What is Nipah Virus?
India recently confirmed two Nipah virus cases in West Bengal since December, with health authorities containing the situation amid misinformation and heightened airport screenings in parts of Asia.
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About Nipah Virus:

  • Nipah virus (NiV) is a zoonotic virus (it is transmitted from animals to humans) and can also be transmitted through contaminated food or directly between people.
  • Fruit bats of the Pteropodidae family are the natural hosts of Nipah virus.
  • In infected people, it causes a range of illnesses from asymptomatic (subclinical) infection to acute respiratory illness and fatal encephalitis.
  • NiV infection is one of the priority diseases on the World Health Organization (WHO) R&D Blueprint because of its epidemic or pandemic potential.
  • Symptoms:
    • Infected people initially develop symptoms including fever, headaches, myalgia (muscle pain), vomiting and sore throat.
  • Treatment:
    • There are no specifically approved treatments or vaccines available for NiV infection, either for people or animals.
    • Intensive supportive care is recommended to treat severe respiratory and neurologic complications.
Science & Tech

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

Key Facts about Rusty-Spotted Cat
The Rusty-spotted Cat, a rare and one of the world's smallest cats, was recently spotted in the Shergarh forest of Baran district in Rajasthan.
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About Rusty-Spotted Cat:

  • It is the world’s smallest and lightest known cat.
  • Scientific Name: Prionailurus rubiginosus.
  • Distribution:
    • The species has been recorded in dry deciduous and semi-deciduous forests in northern and central India, Western Ghats, Kachchh and Rajasthan, and peninsular India, besides Nepal and Sri Lanka.
  • Conservation Status:
    • IUCN Red List: Near Threatened.
Environment

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

Sea of Japan
Recently, North Korea fired a ballistic missile towards the Sea of Japan.
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About Sea of Japan:

  • Location: The Sea of Japan, or East Sea, is a marginal sea of the western Pacific Ocean.
  • It is bound by Japan and Sakhalin to the east and by mainland Russia, North Korea, and South Korea to the west.
  • Connections
    • It is connected with the East China Sea via the Tsushima and Korea straits and with the Okhotsk Sea in the north by the La Perouse and Tatar straits.
    • In the east, it is connected with the Inland Sea of Japan via the Kanmon Strait and the Pacific Ocean by the Tsugaru Strait.
  • Major Ports:
    • Russia: Vladivostok, Sovetskaya Gavan, Nakhodka, Alexandrovsk-Sakhalinsky, and Kholmsk. 
    • North Korea: Hamhung, Chongjin, and Wonsan.
    • Japan: Niigata, Tsuruta, and Maizuru.
Geography

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

JALAJ Livelihood Centres
Recently, the Union Minister of Jal Shakti inaugurated 25 JALAJ Livelihood Centres.
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About JALAJ Livelihood Centres:

  • It is a joint initiative of the Namami Gange Mission and the Wildlife Institute of India (WII).
  • Aim: It is aimed at integrating river conservation with sustainable livelihoods in the Ganga river basin.
  • Jalaj is based on the circular economy model where the local people will be trained in sustainable livelihood practices and mobilized to contribute to biodiversity conservation and clean river ecosystem.
  • Features of JALAJ Livelihood Centres:
    • The initiative promotes community ownership of conservation efforts while creating dignified livelihood opportunities, with a special focus on women’s participation.
    • It is a concept to establish symbiotic linkages between river and people.
    • The Jalaj sites are established at different locations in the Ganga basin represent the culture and communities indigenous to that area.
    • These are established as holistic Centres of overall community well-being, conservation education and livelihood trainings.
    • It will have facilities for dissemination of the information on aquatic biodiversity conservation, livelihood training and sale centres for the products developed by livelihood trainees.
Economy

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

Deuteron
Recently, a new study out of the ALICE collaboration at CERN’s Large Hadron Collider (LHC) has explained how deuterons survive high-energy particle collisions.
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About Deuteron:

  • A deuteron is a stable isotope of hydrogen with a nucleus containing one proton and one neutron.
  • It is denoted by the symbol “²H” or “D”.
  • It is found in small amounts in natural water and in the atmosphere of Jupiter and Saturn.
  • Applications of Deuteron:
    • It is used in the production of heavy water, which is used as a moderator in nuclear reactors.
    • It is used in the production of deuterium, which is used as a fuel in fusion reactors.
    • It is used in the production of tritium, which is used in nuclear weapons.
Science & Tech

Current Affairs
Jan. 29, 2026

Scabies
According to the World Health Organization, scabies is one of the commonest dermatological conditions, accounting for a substantial proportion of skin disease in developing countries.
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About Scabies:

  • It is a contagious parasitic skin infestation that occurs in all parts of the world.
  • Scabies is caused by a tiny bug, the Sarcoptes scabiei mite that burrows under the skin, causing an itchy rash.
  • It is more common in hot, tropical countries like India.
  • Transmission: Scabies spreads easily in crowded conditions and generally through close, direct contact with an infected person, and sometimes through shared clothing and bedding.
  • Symptom: The most common symptom is an intense itchy rash that may become worse at night.
  • Treatment: Treatment of scabies is usually with topical creams and oral medication. 
  • The World Health Organization classified scabies as a neglected tropical disease due to its significant burden on impoverished and vulnerable populations.
Science & Tech
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